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đźš—July Market Insights: Wholesale Inventory on the Rise

Car prices stabilized after a sharp drop in mid-July, while truck values continued to decline.


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July Market Insights: Wholesale Inventory on the Rise

Wholesale Price Changes by Segment 

July Recap

Car values continued to decline in July, surpassing pre-pandemic depreciation rates. After a sharp drop in mid-July, the depreciation rate stabilized towards the end of the month, returning to more typical seasonal levels. Despite rising auction conversion rates, cars are spending more time on dealership lots.

Car Segment

Car segment values declined throughout July, with most segments experiencing consistent depreciation. While the overall decline slowed in the final week, several segments continued to drop sharply. Notable trends include a significant decrease in the 8-to-16-year-old car category, a brief rebound in midsize cars, and sustained weakness in the full-size car segment.

Truck & SUV Segment

Truck and SUV values declined throughout July, with most segments experiencing consistent depreciation. Full-size trucks and vans saw particularly sharp declines, while small pickups initially gained value before falling sharply. The overall depreciation rate for trucks and SUVs slowed in the final week of July, but remained elevated compared to historical norms.

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Wholesale Inventory

Wholesale Inventory

Wholesale car and truck values declined consistently throughout July, with some segments experiencing significant drops, particularly in luxury cars and full-size vans. Despite these price decreases, auction conversion rates remained strong, suggesting healthy demand. While the market showed signs of stabilizing in the final week of the month, the overall trend indicates ongoing challenges in the automotive sector.

View Wholesale Inventory Insights

Used Retail Listing

Used Retail Days-to-Turn Estimate

Used car inventory continued to rise throughout July. The average number of days it took to sell a used car increased steadily, from 48 days at the beginning of the month to approximately 53 days by the end. This indicates a growing supply of used vehicles and potentially slower sales rates.

View the Latest Used Retail Listings

Black Book’s Used Vehicle Retention Index Decreased In June

Black Book’s Used Vehicle Retention Index

“In June, the pace of depreciation increased as wholesale values across all segments experienced larger declines than typical seasonality,” stated Laura Wehunt, Vice President of Analytics at Black Book. “These larger-than-typical declines caused the Black Book Retention Index to fall by 1.4%, with all individual reporting segments also showing a decline in their Index readings. Throughout the month, auction conversion rates remained stable in the mid-50-percent range, but days to turn in the retail market increased each week, ending the month at 45 days compared to 38 days at the start.”

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