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đźš—September Market Insights: Seasonal Patterns Emerge

Affordable segments like Mid-Size Cars and Small Pickups continued to perform well, while luxury segments experienced declines.


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September Market Insights: Seasonal Patterns Emerge

Wholesale Price Changes by Segment 

September Recap

Wholesale car prices remained stable in September, with occasional increases in certain segments. However, the market shifted towards seasonal decline in the final week, albeit at a slower pace than before COVID-19. Affordable segments like Mid-Size Cars and Small Pickups continued to perform well, while luxury segments experienced declines.

Car Segment

The car segment experienced mixed results throughout September. While some segments, like Compact Cars, saw steady increases, others, such as Full-Size Cars, experienced significant declines. Overall, the car segment remained relatively stable, with minor fluctuations in weekly depreciation rates. However, the trend toward increasing depreciation in certain segments, particularly among older and more expensive models, suggests a potential shift in market dynamics.

Truck & SUV Segment

The overall truck segment saw mixed results in September. While the Small Pickup segment continued to appreciate, other segments like Compact Vans experienced significant declines. The 0-to-2-year-old models generally declined throughout the month, while the 8-to-16-year-old models consistently saw decreases.

View Full Market Insights

Wholesale Inventory

Wholesale Inventory

The overall trend in wholesale inventory in September was mixed. While the truck segment showed positive movement in several sub-segments, the car segment continued to decline. The availability of new 2024 models with incentives led to depreciation in used 2024 vehicle values. Auction conversion rates remained relatively stable throughout the month, with slight fluctuations.

View Wholesale Inventory Insights

Used Retail Listing

Used Retail Days-to-Turn Estimate

The Used Retail Active Listing Volume Index remained relatively stable throughout September. The estimated Used Retail Days-to-Turn fluctuated slightly, reaching a high of 47 days in the second week of September before declining to 42 days in the final week. Overall, the used retail listing market showed minimal changes during the month.

View the Latest Used Retail Listings

Black Book’s Used Vehicle Retention Index Increased In August

Black Book’s Used Vehicle Retention Index

“After four consecutive months of the Index declining, the market stabilized in August,” stated Laura Wehunt, VP of Analytics. “Three years after the market experienced a decrease in new vehicle supply due to production shutdowns, the industry is now witnessing the effects of lower used supply. This low supply is stabilizing the market despite unfavorable conditions such as rising incentive levels, high interest rates, and increasing delinquency rates.”

August 2024 Used Vehicle Retention Index

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